India's Strategic Crossroads: Institutional Deficits Threaten Global Leadership Ambitions Amid De-Globalization

India stands at a critical juncture as global economic fragmentation accelerates, exposing systemic vulnerabilities that could undermine its aspiration to become a global leader. Analysis indicates that without substantial enhancement of state capacity, social cohesion, and an equitable growth framework, the nation's 'Vishwaguru' vision remains precarious. Current institutional foundations appear insufficient to navigate the complex transition from globalization to a more fragmented world order. The absence of a robust social contract that distributes economic gains more broadly presents a significant risk to domestic stability and international credibility. Strategic observers note that India's economic trajectory, while impressive, lacks the structural depth required for sustained leadership in an era of geopolitical realignment. This intelligence assessment concludes that India's preparedness hinges on urgent reforms to governance mechanisms and social policies, without which its global influence may plateau despite demographic and economic potential. The coming decade will test whether India can build the necessary institutional resilience to translate ambition into tangible power.