Trade – TheNewsHub https://thenewshub.in Fri, 18 Oct 2024 21:26:15 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.6.2 Embraer CEO says jet maker studying possibilities for a new aircraft https://thenewshub.in/2024/10/18/embraer-ceo-says-jet-maker-studying-possibilities-for-a-new-aircraft/ https://thenewshub.in/2024/10/18/embraer-ceo-says-jet-maker-studying-possibilities-for-a-new-aircraft/?noamp=mobile#respond Fri, 18 Oct 2024 21:26:15 +0000 https://thenewshub.in/2024/10/18/embraer-ceo-says-jet-maker-studying-possibilities-for-a-new-aircraft/

Embraer CEO Francisco Gomes Neto speaks during the Embraer Media Day 2022 at the aircraft factory in Sao Jose dos Campos, Brazil, May 30, 2022. 

Carla Carniel | Reuters

Brazilian plane maker Embraer is studying the market and new technology that could warrant it building an all-new jet, CEO Francisco Gomes Neto told CNBC.

A new airplane could help the airplane manufacturer compete with much larger rivals Airbus and Boeing, which deliver hundreds of jets a year compared with Embraer’s dozens of aircraft.

But Gomes Neto noted that no decisions have been made yet.

“At this point in time, we don’t have concrete plans to go to a big narrow body,” he said, adding that the studies for new engine technologies, avionics and potential demand are “to be prepared.”

In the meantime, Gomes Neto said Embraer is focused on improving results and selling its regional planes, which won orders earlier this year from American Airlines, manufacturing its E2 jet, and “delivering what we promise” customers.

Embraer said Friday that it delivered 16 commercial jets in the third quarter, up more than 5% from a year earlier. Including its defense and business jets, the company handed over 57 jets in the period, a third more than last year.

An Embraer E195E2 aircraft

Frederic Stevens | Getty Images

The Federal Aviation Administration approved a freighter version of its E190 passenger-to-freighter converted jet earlier this month, helping clear the way for its commercial introduction.

“This is maybe the advantage we have: We have a great product [that’s] available,” Gomes Neto said.

Both Airbus and Boeing are struggling to ramp up production and deliver aircraft on time in the wake of the pandemic. Boeing has the added challenges of a safety crisis and a machinist strike.

Boeing once had plans to take control of Embraer’s commercial jet business but ended those discussions in early 2020. Last month, Embraer said Boeing would pay it $150 million over the scuttled plan.

Like its competitors, Embraer is facing supply chain strains coming out of the pandemic, and the company is taking a more in-depth look at delivery capabilities.

Engines, hydraulic valves, cabin interiors and components for them are some of the areas where it has been difficult to ramp up production from suppliers, Gomes Neto said. He added that he expects supply chain problems will likely ease in 2026.

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Diplomatic tensions will not disrupt India-Canada trade: Commerce secretary Barthwal https://thenewshub.in/2024/10/17/diplomatic-tensions-will-not-disrupt-india-canada-trade-commerce-secretary-barthwal/ https://thenewshub.in/2024/10/17/diplomatic-tensions-will-not-disrupt-india-canada-trade-commerce-secretary-barthwal/?noamp=mobile#respond Thu, 17 Oct 2024 00:00:12 +0000 https://thenewshub.in/2024/10/17/diplomatic-tensions-will-not-disrupt-india-canada-trade-commerce-secretary-barthwal/

New Delhi: Ongoing diplomatic tensions between India and Canada are not expected to impact trade because it is primarily conducted between private partners, a senior government official said on Wednesday.

Unless restrictions are imposed by either country, trade will continue as usual, commerce secretary Sunil Barthwal said. “Trade is conducted between private entities and will persist despite the diplomatic tensions.”

“The export-import activities of countries are guided by economic rationale. Trade proceeds as usual unless specific countries impose sanctions, such as the US sanctions on Russia or the EU’s (European Union) sanctions on other nations.”

“Economic trade between these two countries continues to be conducted by importers and exporters based on value chains. These transactions are managed by private entities. If the law prescribes a prohibition on trade, then the situation would be different. But as of now, no such developments have occurred.”

Also read | Rift with Canada sparks uncertainty over movement of people, infra investment

India’s relations with Canada hit a new low on Monday when New Delhi withdrew some of its diplomats from Ottawa and expelled several Canadian diplomats.

This decision followed Canada’s designation of some Indian diplomats as “persons of interest” in the investigation into the killing of Khalistan activist Hardeep Singh Nijjar, which New Delhi described as “preposterous” and part of the government’s vote bank politics.

The Canadian diplomats have been instructed to leave India by or before 11:59pm on 19 October, according to the ministry of external affairs (MEA).

In FY24, India’s total merchandise exports amounted to $437.07 billion in value terms, while imports reached $678.22 billion. Of that, India’s merchandise exports to Canada stood at only $3.85 billion in FY24, with imports at $4.55 billion, compared with $4.11 billion in exports and $4.17 billion in imports in FY23.

Also read | Mint Primer | The escalating India-Canada rift and its implications for India

In addition, Canadian pension funds have invested over $45 billion in India, making Canada the fourth-largest source of foreign direct investment (FDI) in the country by the end of 2022.

Key sectors for Canadian pension fund investments in India include infrastructure, renewable energy, technology and financial services.

India imports lentils from Canada, but after relations soured last year over allegations of Indian involvement in the Nijjar killing, Canada lost a significant share of the pulse import market.

In 2023, India imported 687,558 tonnes of lentils from Canada, accounting for 45.41% of its total lentil imports, while Australia supplied 775,994 tonnes, representing 51.25%.

In 2024, Australian lentil exports have surged to 366,433 tonnes, making up 66.3% of India’s total lentil imports from January to July alone, according to government data. By contrast, Canada exported only 145,735 tonnes of lentils to India during this period, amounting to a mere 26.4% of imports. India’s total import of red lentils (masur) stood at 1.51 million tonnes in calendar year 2023.

Read more | Justin Trudeau will use the RCMP and Interference Commission to unilaterally indict India

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The East and Gulf Coast ports strike could be a no-win situation for the Biden administration https://thenewshub.in/2024/10/02/the-east-and-gulf-coast-ports-strike-could-be-a-no-win-situation-for-the-biden-administration/ https://thenewshub.in/2024/10/02/the-east-and-gulf-coast-ports-strike-could-be-a-no-win-situation-for-the-biden-administration/?noamp=mobile#respond Wed, 02 Oct 2024 12:57:34 +0000 https://thenewshub.in/2024/10/02/the-east-and-gulf-coast-ports-strike-could-be-a-no-win-situation-for-the-biden-administration/

Mario Tama | Getty Images News | Getty Images

President Biden and his administration are sticking to their position of not evoking the Taft-Hartley Act to force International Longshoremen’s Association dock workers back on the job at East and Gulf Coast ports where a strike is hitting day two on Wednesday, a political decision that reflects the power of unions one month out from the election. Rhetoric from Cabinet Secretaries, including Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg and Acting Labor Secretary Julie Su, has become more pointed in recent days, pointing the finger at the ports ownership and ocean carriers. But there is a big risk on the other side of the political decision-making: wage increases that are a win for workers but ultimately ripple through the economy in the form of higher prices, both domestically and around the world.

Much of the focus about the economic impact of the ports strike to date has been focused on the direct hit to the economy from the massive trade shutdown, and the ways in which supply chain congestion and delays can result in higher prices being passed along to consumers, which will become a bigger factor the longer a strike persists. But maritime and business experts are also warning about the risk of persistent wage inflation making its way into supply chain prices that the Federal Reserve has recently been successful in taming.

“The wage increase would indeed be passed on and eventually be paid by the importers,” said Lars Jenson, CEO of Vespucci Maritime, a maritime shipping consultant. “The inflationary impact would vary dramatically depending on the value of the goods inside the container,” he said, adding the impact would be even bigger impact for agricultural exporters.

The ILA’s president Harold Daggett is seeking a raise as high as $5 per hour, per year, over a six-year period in a new contract for union port workers from the United States Maritime Alliance. The USMX, which represents port ownership, last offered what it described as a nearly 50% wage increase of six years on Monday, an offer rejected by the union. The USMX reiterated that offer on Tuesday, saying in a statement that its “current offer of a nearly 50% wage increase exceeds every other recent union settlement, while addressing inflation, and recognizing the ILA’s hard work to keep the global economy running.”

But Daggett countered claims of any “significant increase,” saying in the ILA’s own Tuesday statement that the USMX “conveniently omit that many of our members are operating multi-million-dollar container-handling equipment for a mere $20 an hour. In some states, the minimum wage is already $15. … the USMX also overlooks the fact that two-thirds of our members are constantly on call, with no guaranteed employment if no ships are being worked. Our members qualify for benefits only based on the hours they worked the previous year, making them vulnerable if there’s a downturn in work.”

Daggett told CNBC on Tuesday morning that the ILA is seeking a wage increase of 61.5%.

While a significant wage hike would undoubtedly be a big win for workers and a resurgent labor movement, with the union and port ownership group at an impasse ocean carriers have begun to take steps to protect their own financial position in the near-term for as long as a strike persists. CMA CGM, one of the world’s largest ocean carrier, declared force majeure on Tuesday, a legal maneuver to free itself of contract requirements with shipping clients due to forces beyond its control, and said it “may charge any additional operational costs” associated with vessels delayed due to the strike to cargo on the water as of October 1, 2024 with a U.S. East or Gulf Coast port of discharge.

President Biden said on Tuesday that his administration will be “monitoring for any price gouging activity” that benefits foreign ocean carriers, including those on the USMX board. He also said “foreign ocean carriers have made record profits since the pandemic, when Longshoremen put themselves at risk to keep ports open.”

Based on prior port strikes, ocean carriers normally profit from soaring freight rates based on demand for other ports as well as detention and demurrage fees on containers stranded during a ports shutdown. Analysts have been warning ocean spot rates could increase by 20%-50%. UBS forecast that 20% of Maersk’s total volume would touch a U.S. port that would be impacted by the strike. Maersk is on the board of USMX. UBS estimated that if freight rates increased 30% over two quarters, a revenue tail wind of more than $1 billion would be generated.

Buttigieg said on Tuesday that the DOT is monitoring “any attempts by companies to opportunistically raise prices, including ocean shippers or others,” and called on ocean carriers to withdraw surcharges. “No one should exploit a disruption for profit,” he said in a DOT statement. He added that the Federal Maritime Commission will use expanded authority signed into law by Biden to “ensure any fees assessed are legitimate and lawful.”

But the more significant price hikes would occur after a successful deal for the ILA, according to some economists, even though the total number of workers involved in the strike, at around 50,000, is a blip in a U.S. labor market that employs well over 100 million people. It comes amid other union battles across the U.S. economy targeting aviation and automakers. “The scale of wage demands at the ports, at Boeing, and at autoworkers, make one laugh at the claims that the labor market is soft and that wage inflation is dead,” said Larry Lindsey, CEO of The Lindsey Group.

Acting Secretary Julie Su lashed out at the idea that labor wage increases would be passed onto U.S. exporters and importers.

“At the same time that we were urging them to put a fair offer on the table to avoid all the disruption, they were calculating how much of a surcharge they could charge for shipping in light of a strike,” said Secretary Su said in an interview. “I mean, it’s really an outrageous position.”

For months, logistics and business trade groups representing major industries from retail to manufacturing and agriculture have sent numerous letters to Biden and his administration urging intervention. Now, with the president sticking to his position that collective bargaining is the only means for a “fair deal” for the ILA, executives across the economy are beginning to weight the potential pricing impacts for their business models.

“It quickly renders our U.S. agriculture exports much less competitive in the global marketplace,” said Peter Friedmann, executive director of the Agriculture Transportation Coalition of any logistics rate increases his sector would see. “Our foreign customers can satisfy their food, farm, and fiber needs from other countries, which is where they will go,  as costs of moving containers through U.S. ports continue to increase.”

Acting Labor Secretary Julie Su said she is very sympathetic to the needs of the business community, but stuck to the administration’s position. “I’ve been in many conversations with them too,” she said. “I understand just how important the impact of a good resolution is. I know they understand, just as consumers and American workers understand, that foreign companies who profit from our economy and who employ American workers and have an impact on American consumers should do the right thing, and in that battle, we are always going to stand with American workers, American businesses and American consumers.”

The Federal Reserve has recently become more concerned about the labor market than inflation and his begun cutting interest rates to “recalibrate” its monetary policy in a bid to prevent a rise in layoffs and betting inflation is on its way back to 2%, which recent data supports. In the most recent nonfarm payrolls report for August, average hourly earnings increased by 0.4% on the month and 3.8% from a year ago, both higher than estimates. The September nonfarm payrolls report is due out this Friday and in the short-term, the union battle could influence the data on both wages and layoffs.

The upcoming nonfarm payrolls report is the last the Fed will receive before its next interest rate policy decision in November, and it could include downward pressures in the labor market as well, influenced both layoffs related to the strike and Hurricane Helene. The big payroll report immediately ahead of the government data, the ADP private payrolls report, showed that while hiring increased, pay growth has continued to trend down. The annual gain for those remaining in their jobs decreased to 4.7%, while it fell even more for job switchers, to 6.6%, down 0.7 percentage point from August.

“This would just completely complicate everything that the Fed is trying to do because they’re not getting a read to what the economy is actually performing,” Jim Bianco, head of Bianco Research, told CNBC’s “Fast Money” on Tuesday.

In the longer-term analysis, the wage increase being sought by the union will confirm that wage growth is not going back to its pre-Covid trend, of about 2.5%, according to Peter Boockvar, chief investment officer for Bleakley Financial Group. Instead, he estimates it will settle around 4%, which will put a floor under inflation.

“I continue to believe that after the disinflation plays out, which is mostly taking place in goods, 3-4% will be the normalized inflation rate,” said Boockvar. “And this wage deal, when it happens, will result in goods prices to inflect higher.”

“For those dependent on functioning ports for their livelihood, the collateral damage is often underestimated by those watching from afar,” said Alan Baer, CEO of logistics firm OL USA.  

Steve Lamar, CEO of the American Apparel and Footwear Association, said it’s imperative that the Biden Administration use all the tools at its disposal, including its authorities under Taft Hartley, to keep the parties at the negotiating table, the ports opened, and goods moving efficiently. “Allowing the status quo to persist increases the likelihood that this port crisis will hurt our industry and the overall U.S. economy through job losses, higher prices, and goods shortages,” said Lamar.

—Reporting by CNBC’s Jeff Cox contributed to this article.

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