S&P 500 Fut (Mar'23) – TheNewsHub https://thenewshub.in Thu, 12 Dec 2024 16:21:58 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.7.1 Stocks fall after a warm inflation report, decline in tech shares: Live updates https://thenewshub.in/2024/12/12/stocks-fall-after-a-warm-inflation-report-decline-in-tech-shares-live-updates/ https://thenewshub.in/2024/12/12/stocks-fall-after-a-warm-inflation-report-decline-in-tech-shares-live-updates/?noamp=mobile#respond Thu, 12 Dec 2024 16:21:58 +0000 https://thenewshub.in/2024/12/12/stocks-fall-after-a-warm-inflation-report-decline-in-tech-shares-live-updates/

A trader works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at the opening bell on November 26, 2024, in New York City.

Timothy A. Clary | Afp | Getty Images

U.S. stocks slid Thursday as investors digested a hotter-than-expected producer price index reading for November.

The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite shed about 0.2%, while the broad market S&P 500 lost 0.1%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average traded around flat.

Tech shares led the decline, with Nvidia losing more than 1%. Alphabet was also slightly lower.

The producer price index, which tracks wholesale prices, increased 0.4% last month. Economists polled by Dow Jones expected a 0.2% increase on a monthly basis.

This follows November’s consumer price index report, which came in line with economists’ estimates and has prompted investors to anticipate another interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve at its policy meeting next week.

“I think the trajectory of disinflation is promising and concerning at the same time,” Keith Buchanan, senior portfolio manager at Globalt Investments, said to CNBC. “We continue to grind below 3%, but progress seems to be slowing as we try to get things towards the Fed target of 2%.”

To be sure, Buchanan still believes the Fed is going to lower rates at its gathering next week. Fed funds futures trading data reflects a 98% likelihood that central bank policymakers will do so by a quarter point, according to the CME FedWatch tool.

“If they had an idea of a plan that didn’t match what the market expected this close to the meeting, we’d know it,” he added.

Wall Street is coming off a mixed session, with the Nasdaq topping 20,000 for the first time and reaching new all-time and closing highs. The S&P 500 also gained. The Dow, however, pulled back slightly, marking its fifth consecutive session in the red.

Software giant Adobe declined more than 13% following the company’s weaker-than-expected 2025 outlook.

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Nasdaq rallies above 20,000 for the first time as tech shares gain: Live updates https://thenewshub.in/2024/12/11/nasdaq-rallies-above-20000-for-the-first-time-as-tech-shares-gain-live-updates/ https://thenewshub.in/2024/12/11/nasdaq-rallies-above-20000-for-the-first-time-as-tech-shares-gain-live-updates/?noamp=mobile#respond Wed, 11 Dec 2024 18:55:22 +0000 https://thenewshub.in/2024/12/11/nasdaq-rallies-above-20000-for-the-first-time-as-tech-shares-gain-live-updates/

Trader work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange.

Brendan McDermid | Reuters

The Nasdaq Composite surged Wednesday after November’s inflation report met economists’ projections, clearing the way for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates again at its December meeting next week.

The tech-heavy index rose 1.8% to reach 20,000 for the first time ever, while the broad market S&P 500 gained 0.9%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 63 points, or 0.1%.

The broader tech space was leading the market higher, with the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) rising more than 1%. That puts the fund’s year-to-date gains at more than 24%. Alphabet gained for a second day on the heels of Google making a breakthrough in quantum computing with its new chip. Other tech giants like Meta and Amazon were also higher.

Nvidia, Tesla and other bull market leaders climbed following the relatively tame inflation data as well. The chipmaker ticked up about 3%, and Tesla advanced more than 3%. Those two stocks have risen about 181% and around 67%, respectively, year to date.

In-line inflation data

November’s consumer price index, which tracks a basket of goods and services, was in line with expectations. The reading showed a 0.3% rise from October and 2.7% increase from a year ago. Excluding volatile food and energy prices, core CPI increased 0.3% on the month and 3.3% on an annual basis.

While this inflation data represented a quicker pace from the prior month, traders speculated it was still not high enough to keep the Fed from cutting rates at its next gathering. Fed funds futures are pricing in a more than 94% likelihood that the central bank lowers rates at that gathering, according to CME’s FedWatch Tool.

“We expect a rate cut in the final meeting here at the end of the year,” Tom Hainlin, senior investment strategist at U.S. Bank Asset Management, told CNBC. “With no surprises, the direction of the market’s been higher, and there’s been nothing to derail it from melting up into year-end.”

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S&P 500 falls for a second day as Oracle declines, investors brace for inflation report: Live updates https://thenewshub.in/2024/12/10/sp-500-falls-for-a-second-day-as-oracle-declines-investors-brace-for-inflation-report-live-updates/ https://thenewshub.in/2024/12/10/sp-500-falls-for-a-second-day-as-oracle-declines-investors-brace-for-inflation-report-live-updates/?noamp=mobile#respond Tue, 10 Dec 2024 20:30:18 +0000 https://thenewshub.in/2024/12/10/sp-500-falls-for-a-second-day-as-oracle-declines-investors-brace-for-inflation-report-live-updates/

A continued rally appears ‘path of least resistance’ for year-end 2024, says Barclays

The market may likely see more upside over the coming weeks, according to Barclays.

“Momentum seems so strong that a continued rally seems the path of least resistance for the rest of 2024,” analyst Ajay Rajadhyaksha wrote in a note this week.

Rajadhyaksha also said that bond markets are expected to be “range-bound,” given that investors are awaiting more details on President-elect Donald Trump’s policies.

— Sean Conlon

S&P 500 is doing something unusual, BTIG analysis shows

The S&P 500 has had more declining than advancing stocks in each of the last six completed trading days, according to BTIG data. Despite that, it’s been a winning period for the broad index in an unusual twist.

The S&P 500 is up around 0.3% over that timeframe. There’s never been a six-day run with both negative daily breadth and a positive overall return in the last two decades, according to BTIG.

— Alex Harring

A volatile bull market is in store for 2025, says Citi

While stocks may be due for more gains in 2025, Citi believes investors should also brace for more volatility given an uncertain policy outlook and raised valuations.

“We maintain a positive view on US equities headed into 2025,” the firm’s U.S. equity strategist Scott Chronert wrote. “Ongoing soft landing and Artificial Intelligence tailwinds now interact with Trump policy promise, and risks. Continued broadening beyond Mega Cap Growth impacts is critical but an extended valuation starting point will be an ongoing hurdle.”

The strategist has a year-end 2025 base case target for the S&P 500 of 6,500, allowing for gains in the mid-single digits next year. However, his bull case of 6,900 and bear case of 5,100 allow for a broad range of outcomes.

“Our bull and bear case assumptions help frame an expectation for increased volatility next year,” Chronert continued.

— Sean Conlon

Oracle’s stock heads for worst day in roughly a year

Oracle shares shed about 8% and are on pace for their worst day since Dec.12, 2023.

The decline came on the heels of a disappointing fiscal second-quarter earnings report that fell short of Wall Street’s estimates on the top and bottom lines. Oracle also issued a weak current-quarter outlook.

The drop in shares comes as Oracle heads for its best year since 1999 as investors snatch up shares of cloud infrastructure players assisting companies with the demand storage needs for artificial intelligence models.

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Oracle heads for worst session of the year

8 stocks in the S&P 500 trade at new 52-week highs

During Tuesday’s trading session, eight stocks in the S&P 500 reached new 52-week highs.

Names that hit this milestone included:

  • AutoZone trading at all-time high levels back to its IPO in April, 1991
  • O’Reilly Auto trading at all-time high levels back to its IPO in Apr, 1993
  • Tesla trading at levels not seen since Nov, 2021
  • Citigroup trading at levels not seen since Oct, 2021
  • MSCI Inc. trading at levels not seen since Dec, 2021
  • Catalent trading at levels not seen since Apr, 2023
  • Apple Inc. trading at all-time high levels back to its IPO in Dec, 1980
  • ServiceNow trading at all-time high levels back to its IPO in June, 2012

On the flip side, just three stocks were trading at their 52-week lows: Baxter, Centene and Teleflex.

— Lisa Kailai Han, Christopher Hayes

Semi stocks slide

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S&P 500 vs. SMH and SOXX ETFs, 1-day

Among the worst-performing semi stocks was Broadcom, which slid about 4%. Micron and Taiwan Semiconductor also each dropped more than 3%.

Notably, artificial intelligence darling Nvidia shed nearly 2%.

— Alex Harring

Alphabet shares gain after Google makes breakthrough in quantum computing

Shares of Alphabet rose more than 5% in afternoon trading following Google’s breakthrough in quantum computing.

The company said its new chip, known as Willow, is able to decrease errors “exponentially” as the amount of qubits, which are considered the units of information in quantum computing, are increased. This “cracks a key challenge in quantum error correction that the field has pursued for almost 30 years,” Google also said.

The stock’s move brings its year-to-date gains to more than 32%. Shares have also risen more than 24% over the past three months.

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GOOGL, 1-day

Dollar index climbs Tuesday

The dollar index rose 0.4% Tuesday to 106.58.

Against the euro, the dollar gained 0.5%. The euro last traded at 1.05 against the greenback.

Meanwhile, the dollar strengthened 0.6% to 152.13 yen, and climbed 0.4% against the won to 1,434.23. In December, the greenback has gained 1.6% and 2.8% against the won and the yen, respectively.

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Dollar index on Tuesday

Walgreens Boots Alliance shares pop 18% after briefly halting for volatility

Walgreens Boots Alliance shares popped 18% in midday trading, after briefly halting for volatility, following a Wall Street Journal report, citing sources familiar, that said the pharmacy chain is in talks to sell itself to private equity firm Sycamore Partners.

The deal could be completed as soon as early next year if talks don’t fall apart, the report said. Sycamore Partners declined CNBC’s request for comment.

The move would take Walgreens off the public market after it was booted off the Dow Jones Industrial Average earlier this year. The stock is down 57% in 2024.

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Walgreens Boots Alliance

Alphabet, Oracle among stocks making biggest midday moves

A sign is posted in front of the Oracle headquarters in Redwood Shores, California, on March 11, 2024.

Justin Sullivan | Getty Images

Check out the companies making headlines in midday trading:

  • Alphabet The online search giant operator launched its latest quantum chip, called Willow. Alphabet said this marks a major breakthrough in the field of quantum computing, leading shares 4% higher. Quantum computing is considered the next frontier for many tech companies.
  • Oracle — Shares dropped 8% after the cloud infrastructure company fell short of Wall Street’s fiscal second-quarter expectations. The company also issued disappointing fiscal second-quarter guidance, saying it expects earnings per share to range between $1.50 and $1.54, versus an LSEG estimate of $1.57.
  • Alaska Air Group — The airline carrier’s share price soared more than 14% after Alaska Air issued better-than-expected guided fourth-quarter results higher and said it expects to grow profits by $1 billion through 2027. The company is also planning to launch nonstop flights next year to Tokyo and Seoul from its home hub of Seattle.

For the full list, read here.

— Pia Singh

209 S&P 500 advancers

There were just 209 advancers in the S&P 500, with the index itself little changed as investors awaited this week’s consumer prices data.

Communication services and consumer discretionary were the top-performing sectors, up 2% and 0.8%, respectively. By contrast, real estate stocks slid 1%.

Boeing was the No. 1 stock in the broader index, gaining more than 5% after Reuters, citing people familiar, said the company restarted production of its 737 Max jetliner.

On the other hand, Super Micro Computer and Oracle were lower by 8% and 7%, respectively.

— Sarah Min

Equal weight S&P 500 fund on track to extend losing streak

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The equal weight S&P 500 is on a losing streak.

The declines have also come during the session. As Bespoke Investment Group pointed out in a post on social media site X, the RSP has seen intraday declines in six straight sessions. It would need to rally and close above $184.46 to snap that streak on Tuesday.

The struggles for the RSP are notable because the equal weight fund can be a proxy for market breadth. While the S&P 500 has become increasingly concentrated in a handful of tech names over the past year, the behavior of the RSP is more indicative of the broader large cap stock universe.

— Jesse Pound

China funds pull back

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The China ETFs, 1-day

Despite those slides, all three funds are still higher compared with where they started the week. That underscores the strength of Monday’s rally.

— Alex Harring

The Trump Trade is already running out of steam, Wolfe Research says

The floor of the New York Stock Exchange at the opening bell on Nov. 26, 2024.

Michael M. Santiago | Getty Images News | Getty Images

The Trump Trade is already running out of steam, according to Wolfe Research.

“Uncertainty in the first half of 2025 should put a damper on the ‘Trump Trade,'” the firm’s chief investment strategist Chris Senyek wrote Tuesday. “So in the meantime we’d continue to own the Mag 7!”

The Trump Trade will have three parts, Senyek wrote, with the first part unwinding in the immediate aftermath of the election. Senyek expects the second part of the trade will likely come in the first 100 days of the president-elect’s term. The third, he said, will come in the second half of 2025, as incoming data indicates whether Trump’s policy agenda is a positive or negative for economic growth.

For now, as the first part of the Trump Trade finishes its course, Senyek said he would stick to the “Magnificent Seven” that are not in the “crosshairs of policy risk” through the first half of 2025.

— Sarah Min

Sirius XM shares drop 8%

Shares of Sirius XM slid more than 8% on Tuesday after the radio operator appointed a new chief operating officer and announced cost-cutting initiatives.

The firm said it will target an initial incremental $200 million of annualized savings as it exits 2025, citing “marketplace headwinds.” The company said it will also move its marketing and other resources away from “high-cost, high-churn audiences in streaming.”

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Sirius XM

Stocks open little changed

Alaska Air shares rise following guidance boost

An Alaska Airlines plane prepares to take off from San Francisco International Airport on April 17, 2024.

Liu Guanguan | China News Service | Getty Images

Shares of Alaska Air Group rose nearly 11% in premarket trading on the heels of the carrier raising its fourth-quarter earnings forecast and authorizing a $1 billion stock buyback.

The company now expects earnings to come in between 40 cents and 50 cents per share, up from its prior guidance of 20 cents to 40 cents per share. Analysts polled by FactSet were looking for earnings of 49 cents per share for the period.

Alaska Air also announced it is going to launch new nonstop flights to Japan and Korea in 2025 as part of its plan to deliver $1 billion in profit by 2027.

The stock has outperformed the broader market this year, jumping more than 38% year to date. Shares have also gained around 36% over the past three months.

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ALK, 1-day

— Sean Conlon, Leslie Josephs

Morgan Stanley raises Tesla price target, upgrades GM

Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas appears to be cautiously optimistic about the outlook for the auto industry heading in 2025.

“The US election result has extended the ‘ICE is Nice’ trade for a bit longer but keep on the lookout for hidden value in the EV ecosystem into the 2H. We recommend investors stay nimble and selective given the volatility of policy outcomes,” Jonas said in a note to clients on Tuesday. “ICE” stands for internal combustion engine, the traditional alternative to electric vehicles.

Morgan Stanley made two changes to its ratings of auto stocks: an upgrade of General Motors to equal weight from underweight, and hiking the price target on Tesla to $400 per share from $310.

The new price target is just 2.5% above where Tesla closed on Monday, but the stock is still Jonas’ top pick in the industry.

Tesla could be a beneficiary from the new Trump administration if change leads to regulatory changes that usher along an autonomous driving future.

“If the Trump Administration looks to clear the path for a Federal framework on autonomous vehicles, we believe investors will eventually appreciate that the discussion of AVs is also a discussion about EVs. Among a range of policy tools, we see tariffs as a lever to help accelerate onshoring of enabling technology underpinned by more de-risked supply chain,” Jonas said.

— Jesse Pound

Stocks making the biggest moves before the bell: Oracle, Alaska Air and more

The New York Stock Exchange welcomes Oracle to the podium on July 12, 2023.

NYSE

These are the stocks moving the most in premarket trading:

  • Oracle — The database software company slid roughly 7% after posting fiscal second-quarter earnings and revenue that lagged analysts’ estimates.
  • Alaska Air Group — The Seattle-based carrier guided Q4 results higher and set a $1 billion buyback, sending the stock 11% higher.
  • MongoDB — The database platform tumbled 7% after Chief Financial Officer and Chief Operating Officer Michael Gordon stepped down effective Jan. 31.

Read the full list of stocks moving here.

— Lisa Kailai Han

Optimism among small business owners hits highest point since June 2021

Small businesses sentiment popped to its highest level in nearly three and a half years following November’s presidential election, the National Federation of Independent Business reported Tuesday.

The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index hit 101.7 for November, an increase of 8 points and the best reading since June 2021. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had forecast a reading of 94.8.

“The election results signal a major shift in economic policy, leading to a surge in optimism among small business owners,” said Bill Dunkelberg, the group’s chief economist. “Owners are particularly hopeful for tax and regulation policies that favor strong economic growth as well as relief from inflationary pressures. In addition, small business owners are eager to expand their operations.”

Along with the higher reading for the headline index, the share of business owners expecting a better economy ahead jumped 41 points from October to a net 36%, the highest since June 2020.

— Jeff Cox

Mizuho is bullish on this beverage canning company

Fears surrounding aluminum packaging company Ball are overstated, according to Mizuho, which believes investors should buy the recent pullback in shares.

The firm upgraded the stock to outperform from neutral and maintained its $67 price target, which is 16% above where shares closed on Monday.

“Despite recent misplaced concerns about pricing and volume, we don’t believe earnings are at risk, or that fundamentals have changed. We believe the recent pullback in the shares represents a good buying opportunity and an attractive entry point,” analyst Edlain Rodriguez wrote in a Tuesday note.

The company shut down around 15% of its manufacturing capacity to account for lower consumer demand post-pandemic.

“That capacity closure has better positioned Ball for the medium-term as demand gradually normalizes,” Rodriguez said.

— Hakyung Kim

Nvidia falls again

The Nvidia logo at Computex in Taipei, Taiwan, on June 5, 2024.

Ann Wang | Reuters

Nvidia shares were down slightly a day after the chipmaker pulled back on China launching an investigation into the company possibly violating the country’s antimonopoly law.

The stock was last down 0.3% in the premarket. On Monday, it fell 2.6%, leading to Nvidia’s longest losing streak since September.

— Fred Imbert

Citi increases Broadcom price target before earnings announcement

Citi believes Broadcom‘s fiscal fourth-quarter results will top expectations ahead of the company’s earnings release on Thursday.

Analyst Christopher Danely raised his price target on shares to $205 from $175, implying 14.6% upside potential from Monday’s close. Danely also reiterated his buy rating on the stock.

Danely estimates Broadcom could report up to $15 billion in sales, or a 7% rise from the previous quarter. The company’s non-AI semiconductor business will likely drive its better-than-consensus results, he added.

Current-quarter guidance could be held back on a slowdown in orders from Google, a leading AI customer, Danely said.

“We do expect business to ramp from Meta throughout C25 and pick up the slack,” Danely wrote in a Tuesday note.

— Hakyung Kim

South Korea leads Asia gains as political turmoil continues to grip the country

People walk past the Korea Exchange (KRX) building, as stock markets in Asia as a whole have been affected by the intensifying political turmoil over president Yoon Suk Yeol’s role in martial law, in Seoul, South Korea, on 9 December, 2024. 

Daniel Ceng | Anadolu | Getty Images

South Korean markets led gains in Asia on Tuesday, with the country’s blue-chip Kospi surging 2.43% and seeing its best day in almost three months, while the small-cap Kosdaq spiked 5.52%.

That comes as the country continues to grapple with the fallout of President Yoon Suk Yeol’s short-lived martial law declaration.

Other markets in Asia also climbed, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 up 0.53% and mainland China’s CSI 300 rising by 0.73%.

— Lim Hui Jie

European markets open lower

European stocks opened lower on Tuesday, as investors reacted to Chinese import and export figures that came in below expectations in November.

The pan-European Stoxx 600 index was 0.25% lower shortly after the opening bell, with all major bourses trading in negative territory.

Read the latest here.

— Chloe Taylor

Stocks making the biggest moves after hours

Check out some of the companies making headlines in extended trading:

  • Oracle — Stock in the computer technology company slipped 5% after Oracle slightly missed fiscal second-quarter earnings estimates. The firm reported adjusted earnings of $1.47 per share, while analysts polled by LSEG were looking for $1.48 in earnings per share. Oracle’s revenue of $14.1 billion matched analysts’ estimates.
  • MongoDB — Shares added more than 9% after the database company raised its fourth-quarter forecast. MongoDB now expects adjusted earnings per share in the range of 62 cents to 65 cents, while analysts polled by LSEG were looking for 58 cents in earnings per share. The firm also expects revenue in the current quarter of $515 million to $519 million, against a forecast $509 million.
  • Vail Resorts — The operator of ski resorts saw shares jump close to 3% after posting a narrower-than-expected loss in the fiscal first quarter. Vail reported an adjusted loss of $4.61 per share on revenue of $260 million. Analysts polled by LSEG were looking for a loss of $5.00 per share and revenue of $253 million.

Read the full list here.

— Brian Evans

Stock futures open little changed

Stock futures were little changed on Monday, after both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite pulled back from their respective highs.

S&P 500 futures ticked down 0.03%, while Nasdaq 100 futures lost 0.01%. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average hovered near the flatline.

— Brian Evans

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Stock futures fall slightly after S&P 500 posts third-straight winning week: Live updates https://thenewshub.in/2024/12/09/stock-futures-fall-slightly-after-sp-500-posts-third-straight-winning-week-live-updates/ https://thenewshub.in/2024/12/09/stock-futures-fall-slightly-after-sp-500-posts-third-straight-winning-week-live-updates/?noamp=mobile#respond Mon, 09 Dec 2024 10:37:58 +0000 https://thenewshub.in/2024/12/09/stock-futures-fall-slightly-after-sp-500-posts-third-straight-winning-week-live-updates/

Traders works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., December 2, 2024. 

Brendan Mcdermid | Reuters

U.S. stock futures were slightly lower on Monday after the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite posted their third straight winning week, ahead of key inflation data due out this week.

Dow Jones Industrial Average futures dropped by 16 points, or 0.04%. S&P 500 futures fell a slight 0.1%, along with Nasdaq-100 futures.

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed at fresh records Friday, rising 1% and 3.3% for the week, respectively. The Dow was the lone laggard, closing the week down 0.6%.

Those moves come after the November jobs report showed stronger-than-expected growth, but not so much strength as to dent investor hopes the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates this month. The CME FedWatch Tool shows markets pricing in an 85% chance the target rate will be lowered by a quarter point at the conclusion of the Dec. 18 meeting.

“Everything else is working exactly the way the Fed wants,” Wharton School’s finance professor Jeremy Siegel told CNBC’s “Closing Bell” on Friday. “I think we’re going to have one rate cut on that December 18 meeting, but truthfully, I think only two or three rate cuts next year. I think this strength could last.”

The Fed is now in a blackout period ahead for commentary of its policy-setting meeting, but investors will get one final piece of insight into their decision-making with key inflation data set to be released this week.

The November consumer price index, due out Wednesday, is expected to show a slight uptick in pricing pressures. Economists polled by Dow Jones expect a 0.3% and 2.7% monthly and yearly increase, respectively. That would be up from 0.2% and 2.6%, respectively, from the prior month.

On Monday, investors await October wholesale inventories data, due at 10 a.m. ET.

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S&P 500 ticks higher for another record close on Tuesday: Live updates https://thenewshub.in/2024/12/03/sp-500-ticks-higher-for-another-record-close-on-tuesday-live-updates/ https://thenewshub.in/2024/12/03/sp-500-ticks-higher-for-another-record-close-on-tuesday-live-updates/?noamp=mobile#respond Tue, 03 Dec 2024 21:17:34 +0000 https://thenewshub.in/2024/12/03/sp-500-ticks-higher-for-another-record-close-on-tuesday-live-updates/

Traders work on the New York Stock Exchange floor on Nov. 12, 2024.

Source: NYSE

The S&P 500 inched higher Tuesday, eking out another record close.

The broad market index added 0.05%, ending at 6,049.88. The Nasdaq Composite advanced 0.40% to close at 19,480.91, hitting a new intraday high earlier in the session. Both the S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq closed at records. The Dow Jones Industrial Average underperformed, losing 76.47 points, or 0.17%, to settle at 44,705.53.

“U.S. equities are trending sideways today in front of Friday’s job report, which may provide insight into what the Fed might do following its December 17 and 18 FOMC meeting,” said Terry Sandven, chief equity strategist at U.S. Bank Wealth Management. “On balance, we think there’s much to like about U.S. equities, despite a wall of worry that looms on the horizon.”

“Inflation, interest rates and earnings are supportive of a risk-on bias, and technological advances such as Gen AI continue to expand markets while pushing equities higher,” he added.

Stocks have been on a blistering rally since the U.S. presidential election. Since the Nov. 5 vote, the S&P 500 has climbed 4.6%, and the Nasdaq has rallied about 5.7%. The Dow is up 5.9% since then.

“When the market is up 10% or more with a newly elected President, it has never gone down in the month of December,” said Ken Mahoney, CEO of Mahoney Asset Management.

But he cautioned this doesn’t mean that stocks will soar in December, since November was the best month of the year for the market. During the last trading day of November, the Dow and the S&P reached new intraday and closing highs, leading both indexes to post their best months of 2024. The Dow added 7.5%, while the S&P 500 gained 5.7% last month.

“But there’s still enough demand for stocks, because I do think there’s a fair amount of money that’s coming up the sidelines post election,” Mahoney added.

Economic data released on Tuesday showed that job openings were higher in October compared to September. Job openings hit a total of 7.74 million last month, topping the Dow Jones estimate of 7.5 million.

This was the first in a salvo of data releases expected this week that can provide insight into the strength of the labor market. The main event will be Friday’s November payrolls report.

The data arrives ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting on Dec. 17-18. Fed funds futures are currently pricing in a roughly 72% probability that the central bank lowers interest rates during its gathering, according to CME’s FedWatch Tool.

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S&P 500 futures are little changed following Trump tariff plans; Amgen weighs on Dow futures: Live updates https://thenewshub.in/2024/11/26/sp-500-futures-are-little-changed-following-trump-tariff-plans-amgen-weighs-on-dow-futures-live-updates/ https://thenewshub.in/2024/11/26/sp-500-futures-are-little-changed-following-trump-tariff-plans-amgen-weighs-on-dow-futures-live-updates/?noamp=mobile#respond Tue, 26 Nov 2024 13:44:07 +0000 https://thenewshub.in/2024/11/26/sp-500-futures-are-little-changed-following-trump-tariff-plans-amgen-weighs-on-dow-futures-live-updates/

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during afternoon trading on Aug. 2, 2024.

Michael M. Santiago | Getty Images

S&P 500 futures wavered on Tuesday as investors assessed the threat of new tariffs from President-elect Donald Trump.

Futures tied to the broad index and the Nasdaq 100 ticked up around 0.2% and 0.3%, respectively. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures slid 138 points, or 0.3%, hurt by a drop of more than 11% in Amgen following obesity drug trial results.

Trump on Monday night called for a 25% tariff on products from Mexico and Canada, as well as an additional 10% levy on Chinese goods. He has already said he would impose a tariff of up to 20% on all imports, and an additional duty of at least 60% on products from China.

To be sure, Wall Street appeared to be taking the news in stride, “both because investors don’t entirely believe the levies will wind up being implemented and as the headlines are counteracted by favorable year-end seasonality and decent earnings,” according to Adam Crisafulli of Vital Knowledge.

While the S&P 500 was little changed, some individual names and funds moved as investors analyzed potential impacts from the policies Trump discussed. Automakers Ford and General Motors slid more than 2% and 4%, respectively. The iShares MSCI Mexico ETF (EWW), which tracks a basket of equities tied to America’s southern neighbor, shed more than 1%.

Stocks are coming off an action-packed session fueled by Trump’s Treasury secretary pick, hedge fund executive Scott Bessent. Monday’s gains helped bolster the belief that the postelection rally is back in full gear following a brief breather.

Both the Dow and S&P 500 hit new intraday records in Monday’s session, with the former also finishing the day at an all-time closing high. The small cap-focused Russell 2000 also notched a fresh high, marking its first new intraday record since 2021.

That advance came as Treasury yields fell with traders taking a favorable view of Bessent leading the department. Many investors view the hedge fund manager as a champion of financial markets and the economy given his background, and as someone who could potentially counteract some of Trump’s aggressive trade aspirations.

“These policies may take more time to play through into the market actually get enacted,” NewEdge chief investment officer Cameron Dawson told CNBC’s “Closing Bell” on Monday of potential new policies from the Treasury pick. “It’s definitely a question mark of how much impact he can have in the short run as we round the year.”

Investors will monitor Federal Reserve meeting minutes due out at 2 p.m. ET for insights into the path of monetary policy.

The U.S. market is closed Thursday for the Thanksgiving holiday and set to close early Friday, with volume expected to remain light.

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Dow rises more than 200 points as Wall Street heads for weekly gain: Live updates https://thenewshub.in/2024/11/22/dow-rises-more-than-200-points-as-wall-street-heads-for-weekly-gain-live-updates/ https://thenewshub.in/2024/11/22/dow-rises-more-than-200-points-as-wall-street-heads-for-weekly-gain-live-updates/?noamp=mobile#respond Fri, 22 Nov 2024 15:09:10 +0000 https://thenewshub.in/2024/11/22/dow-rises-more-than-200-points-as-wall-street-heads-for-weekly-gain-live-updates/

Flash PMI readings for services and manufacturing rise in November

Activity in both the manufacturing and services sectors accelerated in November, according to surveys of purchase managers released by S&P Global on Friday.

The flash PMI reading for services moved up to 57.0, a two-point increase from October and the highest reading in 32 months. On the manufacturing side, the index nudged higher to 48.8, up slightly from October and the highest level in four months.

The manufacturing reading met the Dow Jones estimate while the services index was slightly better than the 55.0 forecast.

The indexes measure the percentage of companies reporting growth, so anything above 50 represents expansion.

—Jeff Cox

Stocks open little changed

Stocks making the biggest moves premarket

Check out some of the companies making headlines in premarket trading:

  • Intuit — Stock in the financial software firm pulled back about 3% after its earnings guidance for the current quarter missed analyst estimates. Intuit forecast second-quarter earnings of $2.55 to $2.61 per share, while analysts polled by FactSet were looking for a profit of $3.25 per share.
  • Flutter Entertainment – Shares rose more than 1% after Goldman Sachs initiated coverage of the stock with a buy rating and a price target that reflects almost 20% upside from Thursday’s close. The bank cited stronger U.S. margins and share buybacks as catalysts for growth ahead.
  • Gap — Shares of the clothing retailer surged more than 20% after the company upped its full-year outlook for the third time in 2024. Gap now expects sales to advance by 1.5% to 2%, compared with a previous outlook that said sales would be “up slightly” on the year.

Read the full list here.

— Brian Evans

Trump’s new AG pick good for tech, says TD Cowen

Pam Bondi, former Florida attorney general.

Zach Gibson | Bloomberg | Getty Images

President-elect Donald Trump‘s new choice for attorney general, Pam Bondi, is much better for tech platforms than his former pick, Matt Gaetz, according to TD Cowen.

Trump named Bondi his intended nominee Thursday evening, just hours after Gaetz withdrew from consideration. Bondi, a former Florida attorney general, is now a lobbyist working on online privacy issues, among other things, at Ballard Partners. The firm represents Google and Amazon.

After the Justice Department’s proposed remedies in the Google antitrust case on Thursday, a possible settlement now takes on “heightened importance,” TD Cowen policy analyst Paul Gallant wrote in a note Thursday.

“We view Ms. Bondi’s likely leadership of DOJ as a materially better starting point for a settlement with the Trump Administration than had Gaetz been confirmed,” he said. “We would make the same observation about a possible settlement with Apple, which DOJ sued for antitrust violations six months ago (case goes to trial in mid-2026).”

— Michelle Fox

Piper Sandler downgrades Sunrun, citing uncertain residential solar market conditions

Workers prepare to install Sunrun solar panels on the roof of a home in Granada Hills, California.

Mel Melcon | Los Angeles Times | Getty Images

Piper Sandler downgraded Sunrun, anticipating further cash generation uncertainty for the company under a higher-for-longer interest rate environment.

Analyst Kashy Harrison lowered her rating on the struggling solar panel and battery storage company to neutral from overweight. She also cut her price target by $12 to $11, which suggests 7.6% potential upside for the stock.

Sunrun’s shares have plunged nearly 48% this year, with losses piling as fears that President-elect Donald Trump could repeal the Inflation Reduction Act — which has supported tax credits to expand solar energy — have led to a downbeat outlook on solar stocks.

“Rates remain elevated, Republicans control the Presidency and Congress; as a result, equity performance has been dismal … Thus, while some curtailment is expected, we see a low probability of a hard landing on the IRA as it pertains to power supply (i.e. ITC/PTC) or manufacturing credits,” Harrison said. “If our base case expectation comes to fruition (commercial ITC remains; homeowner ITC repealed), we’d expect a volatile resi solar market moving forward.”

— Pia Singh

Stocks likely to rebound from early Friday losses, Vital Knowledge says

Don’t sweat the early losses in futures too much, advised Adam Crisafulli of Vital Knowledge.

“Stocks are getting hit in Europe and the US following some downbeat Eurozone flash PMI data, although the magnitude of the S&P futures pullback at 4amET is more a reflection of thin liquidity than extremely negative news, and thus it’s likely prices will rebound,” he said in a note.

— Fred Imbert

Gap, Ross Stores climb after earnings reports

Shoppers walk in a Gap store on November 21, 2024 in Miami Beach, Florida. 

Joe Raedle | Getty Images

Two retail stocks surged in after hours trading following their quarterly reports.

Shares of Gap climbed 15% after beating estimates on the top and bottom lines and raising its full-year sales guidance. Ross Stores popped 7% after reporting earnings per share of $1.48, ahead of the $1.40 projected by analysts, according to LSEG.

Check out more after hours movers here.

— Jesse Pound

Nasdaq, Dow and S&P 500 on track for winning weeks

Wall Street is headed for its second positive week in three across the board, if the stock market holds up on Friday.

  • The Nasdaq Composite is up 1.56% week to date
  • The S&P 500 is up 1.33% week to date
  • The Dow is up 0.98% week to date.

Additionally, Thursday’s 1.06% rally for the Dow was its best day since Nov. 6.

— Jesse Pound, Christopher Hayes

Texas Pacific Land to join S&P 500

Energy stock Texas Pacific Land is set to join the S&P 500 next week, with current constituent Marathon Oil being officially acquired by ConocoPhillips.

S&P Dow Jones Indices announced the move as part of a series of index changes on Thursday evening. In corresponding moves, Mueller Industries will slide up to the S&P MidCap 400, and Atlas Energy Solutions will join the S&P SmallCap 600.

The moves will take effect prior to the open of trading on Nov. 26.

Texas Pacific Land, based in west Texas, has a market cap of around $35 billion.

— Jesse Pound

Stock futures open lower

Stock futures opened slightly lower on Thursday evening.

Nasdaq 100 futures saw the biggest move, falling about 0.2%. Dow and S&P 500 futures were down around 0.1%.

— Jesse Pound

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Stock futures are little changed as Wall Street looks to extend postelection rally: Live updates https://thenewshub.in/2024/11/08/stock-futures-are-little-changed-as-wall-street-looks-to-extend-postelection-rally-live-updates/ https://thenewshub.in/2024/11/08/stock-futures-are-little-changed-as-wall-street-looks-to-extend-postelection-rally-live-updates/?noamp=mobile#respond Fri, 08 Nov 2024 01:15:15 +0000 https://thenewshub.in/2024/11/08/stock-futures-are-little-changed-as-wall-street-looks-to-extend-postelection-rally-live-updates/

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during the morning trading on November 07, 2024 in New York City. 

Michael M. Santiago | Getty Images

U.S. stock futures hovered near the flatline Thursday night after the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite hit records in a postelection rally and investors weighed the Federal Reserve’s latest interest rate cut.

S&P 500 futures and futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average each added less than 0.1%. Nasdaq 100 futures were little changed.

During Thursday’s trading session, the broad market index gained 0.7% to close at a new record. The tech-heavy Nasdaq jumped 1.5% and ended the session above 19,000 for the first time. Meanwhile, the 30-stock Dow was marginally lower. The three major averages all hit intraday record highs during the session.

The moves higher continue the market rally from Wednesday in the wake of President-elect Donald Trump’s victory, during which the Dow and S&P 500 rose to their best days since November 2022.

Meanwhile, the Fed lowered interest rates by a quarter point, in-line with the market’s expectations. Fed Chair Jerome Powell noted he is “feeling good” about the economy during a press conference.

However, “the path of Fed cuts is cloudier today than it was a week ago before the election,” said Scott Helfstein, head of investment strategy at Global X ETFs.

Investors generally view a Republican-controlled government as more favorable on expectations for deregulation, the potential for more mergers and acquisitions and proposed tax cuts. However, concerns over the large federal deficit and increased tariffs have also sparked concerns of an uptick in inflation.

“The market is signaling that a Trump administration would be good for growth and risk assets, but the combination of faster growth with new tariffs would be inflationary,” he added. “While the Fed feels the risks are balanced between stable prices and maximum employment, this could shift quickly increasing the risk to reaccelerating inflation.”

The postelection surge put all three of the major averages are on pace for strong weekly gains, with the S&P 500 up about 4.3% and the Dow higher by nearly 4%. Both indexes are on track for their best week since November 2023. The Nasdaq is the outperformer of the three, toting a 5.6% advance through Thursday’s close.

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Stock futures rise with Nasdaq set to add to records as oil prices decline https://thenewshub.in/2024/10/28/stock-futures-rise-with-nasdaq-set-to-add-to-records-as-oil-prices-decline/ https://thenewshub.in/2024/10/28/stock-futures-rise-with-nasdaq-set-to-add-to-records-as-oil-prices-decline/?noamp=mobile#respond Mon, 28 Oct 2024 05:08:59 +0000 https://thenewshub.in/2024/10/28/stock-futures-rise-with-nasdaq-set-to-add-to-records-as-oil-prices-decline/

Traders work on the New York Stock Exchange floor on Oct. 16, 2024.

Spencer Platt | Getty Images

U.S. equity futures jumped on Monday morning as investors looked for a batch of megacap technology earnings to keep driving the Nasdaq Composite to new heights this week. A cooling geopolitical situation also aided risk sentiment.

Weekend airstrikes by Israel against Iran did not target oil or nuclear facilities as was feared and oil futures were lower in early trading.

Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 179 points, or 0.42%. S&P 500 futures gained 0.53% and Nasdaq 100 futures increased by 0.73%.

The market was split at the end of last week. On Friday the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite jumped to a new intraday all-time high, rising 0.56% to close at 18,518.61. On the flip side, the Dow shed 259.96 points, or 0.61%, to close at 42,114.40. The broad-market S&P 500 inched lower by 0.03% to 5,808.12.

Both the Dow and S&P snapped a six-week winning streak, but the Nasdaq eked out its seventh positive week in a row.

Wall Street is bracing for a big week in markets that will mark busiest week of third-quarter earnings reporting season and the final week before the Nov. 5 U.S. Presidential election. Five of the Magnificent Seven companies – Alphabet, Microsoft, Meta Platforms, Amazon and Apple – are scheduled to report third-quarter earnings.

“One thing we expect to see play out is these megacap tech names continuing to reinforce commitment to AI in tech spending broadly,” Yung-Yu Ma chief investment officer at BMO Wealth Management, told CNBC. “I don’t think there’s going to be any backing away from that.”

Stock Chart IconStock chart icon

Nasdaq Composite, YTD

“If for some reason we don’t get that – if a few of those tech companies reporting talk about say tapping on the brakes a little bit in some of these investments – the market would not take that well,” he added. “So that’s going to be somewhat impactful, for the market to actually hear that these companies are continuing their commitment to spending in this area, if not accelerating.”

Traders are also watching for a slew of key economic data this week, including the September jobs report due Friday; the September personal consumption expenditures, or PCE, price index, expected Thursday; and a preliminary reading on third-quarter gross domestic product out on Wednesday.

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S&P 500 rises to end three-day losing run, lifted by surge in Tesla: Live updates https://thenewshub.in/2024/10/24/sp-500-rises-to-end-three-day-losing-run-lifted-by-surge-in-tesla-live-updates/ https://thenewshub.in/2024/10/24/sp-500-rises-to-end-three-day-losing-run-lifted-by-surge-in-tesla-live-updates/?noamp=mobile#respond Thu, 24 Oct 2024 21:24:28 +0000 https://thenewshub.in/2024/10/24/sp-500-rises-to-end-three-day-losing-run-lifted-by-surge-in-tesla-live-updates/

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during morning trading on Oct. 8, 2024.

Michael M. Santiago | Getty Images

The S&P 500 bounced back on Thursday, posting its first positive day in a week that has been beset by higher rates.

The S&P 500 added 0.21% to 5,809.86 and snapped a three-day run of losses. The Nasdaq Composite jumped 0.76% and closed at 18,415.49. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 140.59 points, or 0.33%, to end at 42,374.36. The blue-chip index notched a four-day losing streak, its first since June.

Tesla was the best-performing stock in the broad market index. The electric vehicle manufacturer surged nearly 22% after posting third-quarter results that beat analysts’ expectations, registering its best day since 2013. Molina Healthcare gained 17.7% on better-than-expected earnings and revenue. Whirlpool and UPS also jumped after posting results.

Dragging the Dow was IBM, which fell more than 6% as the company’s consulting revenue narrowly missed analysts’ estimates. Boeing slipped 1.2% after its machinists rejected a new labor contract.

Roughly 160 S&P 500 companies have posted quarterly results so far, but their earnings growth has been underwhelming. The blended growth rate, which tracks reports that have already come out and estimates for those set to report, indicates an overall S&P 500 earnings growth rate of 3.4% from the year-earlier period, according to FactSet. That result came up short of analysts’ projections.

Treasury yields moved lower, easing from three-month highs reached in the previous session. The 10-year Treasury yield topped the 4.25% threshold on Wednesday at the high of the session.

“The pressure on the market has been from the rate side,” said Rob Haworth, senior investment strategist at U.S. Bank Asset Management. “That’s really what has dampened equity market enthusiasm, and you haven’t had big enough earnings news yet to drive the market to a new high … we’re also not seeing as broad a momentum as we were seeing.”

Stocks are coming off a losing session, with the Dow suffering its biggest one-day drop since early December, falling more than 400 points on Wednesday. The S&P 500 shed nearly 1% and the Nasdaq lost 1.6%.

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